Gold market analysis

Market Analysis

Gold Market Analysis

In-depth exploration of the factors behind gold price fluctuations

Gold prices are expected to continue to rebound in the short term.

Gold prices are expected to continue rebounding in the short term.  
Completed on 4/6/2026 at 9:40 AM  

Gold prices continued to decline yesterday, with spot gold briefly dropping as low as $4,426.9 in early trading in New York. Although it later surged significantly, it failed to reclaim the one-hour high of $4,465.6 before falling again. However, after touching a low of $4,424.38 this morning, spot gold formed a bullish engulfing pattern within an hour, consolidating and then further rebounding to $4,473.6, confirming yesterday's prediction of a bottoming-out reversal. 

As seen on the hourly chart, the recent drop in gold prices since June 2 represents 78.6% of the largest decline recorded between May 29 and June 1. Today's low also forms a double bottom pattern with yesterday's low, suggesting that gold is likely to continue its short-term rebound. The first major resistance lies at the 50-period SMA (currently around $4,479). The 50% retracement level of Tuesday’s largest decline stands at approximately $4,483, marking the next higher resistance, while the 61.8% retracement level at around $4,497 is expected to present stronger resistance. 

If gold price manages to hold above the 50-period SMA on the hourly chart, it could potentially target the Gann Square 335-degree angle at $4,510. Only a break and sustained close above this level would open the door for further upside toward the previous consolidation zone high of $4,580, and even the strong resistance at the Gann Square horizontal level of $4,660. Given that gold has clearly formed a double bottom around $4,420, with $4,410 serving as a key support, buying on dips remains the primary strategy. However, stop-loss orders should be placed if $4,410 is breached, or even $4,400. 

The above content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.