Weekly

July 20th

Today's amplitude range

It is predicted that the probability that the European Central Bank will consider raising interest rate by half a percentage point on Thursday will rise to 60%, the US dollar index will fall again, and the price of gold will rise slightly for two consecutive days. Yesterday, the new york stock market

Rising sharply, the Federal Reserve has more bullets to prevent the crisis that the interest rate hike will lead to recession. The expectation of a "sharp" interest rate hike still holds the gold market back, but in the European Central Bank (ECB), it is clear that

The announcement of the interest rate hike on July 1 is expected to temporarily pull down the US dollar index, increase the chances of gold price rising, and still adhere to the recent strategy. Once the gold price falls below $1,700, it is worth opening a position.

Hold, stop the erosion with 1688, and beat 20 to 40 dollars with 10 dollars, with extremely high value beat rate. Continue to maintain the recommended volatility of $1,698 to $1,722 on Monday.

Moody's, a credit rating agency, commented on the collective failure of the owners of uncompleted residential flats in the Mainland. The report said that although the mortgage loans involved in the shutdown of real estate only accounted for a small proportion of the total balance of bank mortgage loans.

A small part, but because mainland real estate developers are still facing financing difficulties, once the group of owners who are out of supply is expanded, it will have the opportunity to damage the domestic banking system and directly affect the interior rooms.

The credit rating of real estate developers makes financing more difficult. Fitch, another rating agency, believes that the uncompleted residential flats incident affects the confidence of home buyers and will inevitably delay the domestic real estate market.

The recovery of the market has made the developers worse.

Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower yesterday. The Ministry of Public Information of the Mainland said that it would further strengthen Internet security supervision and law enforcement, and the pressure on new economic stocks dragged down the overall market, plus

The two rating agencies respectively pointed out that there was still a thunder crisis in mainland real estate. The Hang Seng Index opened lower by 126 points, and fell by nearly 300 points at most. The decline in the tail market narrowed, and finally closed down by 185 points.

0661 points. In addition, yesterday's market turnover was further reduced to less than 84 billion yuan, the lowest turnover in two and a half months. Gazprom's early development

Message, indicating that due to special circumstances, the supply of natural gas can not be guaranteed. Receiving such a "threatening" message before the coming of winter has aggravated the fear of fuel shortage in Europe.

But yesterday, the market reported that Russia's gas pipeline "Beixi No.1" will resume gas transmission to Europe on Thursday as originally planned.

Stimulating the market atmosphere, the three major European stock markets rose for three days in a row, then rose by more than 2% yesterday, and the German DAX index rose by 0.76%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.93%; British FTSE

The 100 index rose by 1.03%. The United States entered the performance announcement period, and many large enterprises announced that their performance was satisfactory. They were originally worried about a sharp interest rate increase with the Federal Reserve in the face of worsening inflation.

Under the attack, it will affect the performance of corporate profits; However, the fact proved that this was not the case, and the market atmosphere became positive, reversing the early decline of the three major indexes on Wall Street and rebounding by more than 2%, saying

Jones index rose by 2.43%; The S&P 500 index rose 2.76%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.1%.

Eurostat announced that due to soaring energy prices, the inflation rate in the euro zone in June increased by 8.6% year-on-year, the highest ever. After that, the market predicted that the European Central Bank would take the test on Thursday.

The probability of raising interest rate by half a percentage point rose to 60%, and the US dollar index softened again, falling to around 106.5, with the highest gold price of 1718.5 yuan. However, the stock market atmosphere was good, weakening the demand for safe haven, and making

The increase of the gold market narrowed, with the lowest price of gold reaching 1705.4 yuan, and finally closing at 1711.6 dollars, up by 1.7 dollars.

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