Weekly

Meeting behind the dead line

2020-10-21

The second debate of the US presidential election, which was originally scheduled to be held on October 19th, was cancelled because the General Assembly paid attention to Trump suffering from COVID-19 pneumonia, that is, this Thursday was the last debate between the two presidential candidates.

At this stage, the two are very different in their election strategies. Trump, who has low public support, still runs around and canvasss in different States; On the contrary, Biden, who has a high degree of public support, went back to his hometown to rest.

Save your energy for the last debate. Although the public opinion of the two presidential candidates is high and low, according to the recent public opinion survey, the final result is a 51/49 dispute, and Biden is only slightly ahead by 2%.

There is a big gap compared with the results that Biden won by 10% in the past survey. In just less than a month, the polls have been so close. There are two main reasons. First, Trump successfully overcame COVID-19 pneumonia and returned.

Fall by the heroic people in the United States. Second, the Biden family sent out negative news, and the old Biden case and his son Hunter were involved in international corruption, while former new york Mayor Giuliani said that he had received more evidence.

It will be shown before October 22nd, and the news is extremely unfavorable to Biden.


It is worth noting that, as this election coincides with the COVID-19 epidemic, more than one million voters in several States have mailed out their votes, which means that the real vote lags behind the opinion polls, and the gap should be greater than 2%.

On the other hand, the arrangement of mailing votes is exactly what Trump opposes. Trump has threatened earlier that he will not surrender the presidential power even if he does not win the presidential election. In other words, once Biden wins with a slight number of votes,

Trump will definitely make an election petition and take legal actions to prevent Biden from taking office as president of the United States. There will be political chaos in the United States for at least four to six months.

Yesterday, the issue of Brexit remained unresolved. Britain insisted that the EU should make more concessions on trade terms, but there was a turning point. At least the meeting could continue after the deadline set by British Prime Minister Johnson.

The news sent the euro up against the dollar, while the pound remained flat against the dollar. The major European stock markets developed individually, and the German DAX index fell by 0.9%; French CAC index fell 0.3%; Britain was also flat, rising by less than 0.1%.

Coincidentally, after the new round of US fiscal stimulus plan was rejected by US House Speaker Pelosi earlier, yesterday was set as the deadline for negotiations, but Pelosi was still discussing with US Treasury Secretary Nuchin yesterday.

He pointed out that the differences narrowed and the discussion will continue tomorrow. The news made the US dollar soft, and the US dollar index fell to a one-month low and once fell below 93 points to close at 93.09 points.

The price of gold fluctuated yesterday, with the lowest price reaching $1,895 per ounce, which was all about the trend of the US dollar. Thanks to the decline of the US dollar, the highest price reached $1,914 per ounce. However, the market announced that the new crown vaccine will be approved to limit the increase of gold price this year.

At last, it closed at $1,907 per ounce, rising by $3, with a breakthrough in outlook.

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